According to Skymet Weather, Western disturbance is now over Jammu Kashmir and adjoining parts. Another Western disturbance is seen over north Pakistan and adjoining areas. They will affect the Western Himalayas in quick succession.
And induced cyclonic circulation is over Central Pakistan and adjoining area. A trough in low levels is extending from coastal Kerala to south Madhya Maharashtra.
Another trough is seen extending from Southwest Bay of Bengal to North Andhra Pradesh coast. Light to moderate rain with isolated heavy spell may occur over Andhra Pradesh and isolated pockets of Tamil Nadu.
Scattered light to moderate rain and thundershower may occur over interior Tamil Nadu, Karnataka and isolated pockets of Kerala.
Isolated light rain is expected over South Telangana and South coast of Odisha. Light to moderate rain and snow are expected to commence over Jammu Kashmir, Gilgit Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Ladakh and isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh.
|Due to rainfall in the last two days and a cloudy afternoon on Saturday, the day temperature reported in the city was 28.5 degrees Celsius. (Kalpesh Nukte/HT PHOTO)|
Minimum temperatures may increase marginally over North West India. Intensity of fog will now reduce over northern plains.
Temperatures are likely to rise by three to five degrees Celsius over most parts of northwest India in the next three to four days due to increase in moisture and variable wind direction, according to the regional meteorological centre, Delhi.
This is also due to the two western disturbances that are likely to bring rain and thunderstorms to the western Himalayas. The first western disturbance started approaching on Friday while the second one is likely to approach on February 22. The impact of the WDs is likely to be concentrated in the hills, Hindustan Times reported.
“The impact of the WDs will be limited to the hills mainly in Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and upper reaches of Uttarakhand. Light rain is also likely over Punjab, but over the rest of northwest India temperatures will rise due to increase in moisture and variable wind direction. Normally temperatures go up when there is a WD,” said Kuldeep Shrivastava, head, regional weather forecasting centre.
|Photo: Weather Online|
Light to moderate rainfall/snowfall is very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan and Muzaffarabad and isolated to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall is likely over Himachal Pradesh during the next 5 days and over Uttarakhand on February 23 and 24. Thunderstorm and lighting is also likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan and Muzaffarabad during the next 5 days and over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during February 22 to 24. Hailstorm is also likely over parts of Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan and Muzaffarabad on February 21 and 22 and over Uttarakhand on February 22, 23 and 24.
There is a forecast for heavy rainfall or snowfall over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit, Baltistan and Muzaffarabad on February 22, according to IMD’s Saturday bulletin.
The maximum temperature in Delhi on Saturday was 27.3 degree C, three degrees above normal and minimum was 10.4, one degree C below normal.
A trough (area of low pressure) is likely in westerlies from northeast Bihar to southeast Arabian Sea across Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka and north Kerala and another trough in low level easterlies lies over westcentral Bay of Bengal and runs from off north Tamilnadu coast to south Odisha coast at lower tropospheric levels. Under its influence moderate rainfall is very likely over Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Telangana, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal and Kerala and Mahe during the next three days.
Dense to very dense fog in isolated/some pockets is very likely over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh in the morning hours of February 21 and 22.
"Maximum temperatures over many parts of northwest India are already three to five degrees above normal. Now the minimum will also rise as humidity increases and warm winds start blowing due to consecutive WDs," said Mahesh Palawat, vice president, climate change and met at Skymet Weather.
|Surface Temperature on Monday 22 Feb at 11:30am IST. Photo: Weather-forecast.com|
5-Day Nationwide Weather Forecast
According to Weather.com, a western disturbance (WD) is likely to affect the Western Himalayan Region over the next few days. The WD could produce fairly-widespread to widespread snow or rain along with thunderstorms over Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh next week and over Himachal Pradesh on Tuesday and Wednesday. Heavy rain or snow is very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh on Monday.
Accordingly, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has placed Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh subdivision under an orange alert for Sunday and Monday. Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand are also under similar alert for Monday and Tuesday. An orange alert signifies 'be prepared' for adverse weather conditions.
Westerly winds from the Bay of Bengal bring isolated to scattered rain with lightning over Southern India on Sunday and Monday.
Dry weather is likely over other parts of India in this forecast period. Dense to very dense fog is likely over isolated pockets of Punjab and Haryana and Delhi on Sunday. Dense fog is likely over isolated pockets of West Uttar Pradesh on Sunday.
Maximum temperatures are near normal or slightly warmer than normal over northern, northwestern and northeastern India in this period. Maximum temperatures are lower over southern and southwestern India on Sunday and Monday.
Minimum temperatures are warmer or near normal across India in this forecast period. Air quality is likely to remain very poor across northern, central and eastern India and poor over western, southern and northeastern India for the next few days.
Heavy rain/snow is very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh. Widespread rain/snow and thunderstorm are likely over Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh.
Isolated rain/snow is possible over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. Isolated rain is possible over Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, coastal Karnataka, south interior Karnataka, Kerala and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
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