Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Prediction, Preview, Team News, Betting Tips and Odds
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Burnley are set to play Brighton & Hove Albion at Turf Moor on Saturday in the English Premier League.
Burnley come into this game on the back of a 2-0 loss to Cadiz in a friendly game a few days ago. Goals from midfielders Martin Calderon and Alex Fernandez ensured victory for Cadiz.
Brighton & Hove Albion, on the other hand, lost 2-0 to Getafe in a friendly fixture. Goals from Uruguayan centre-back Erick Cabaco and experienced midfielder David Timor secured the win for Getafe.
Time, Date and Avenue
Burnley is going head to head with Brighton & Hove Albion starting on 14 Aug 2021 at 14:00 UTC at Turf Moor stadium, Burnley city, England. The match is a part of the Premier League.
For the sixth successive year, Burnley will be competing in the Premier League and Sean Dyche is hopeful that he will have the resources to steer the club clear of the relegation zone once again.
Aside from an impressive seventh-place finish in 2017-18, the Clarets have spent the majority of their time battling to keep their top-flight status intact and last year was no different.
Burnley endured a disappointing end to the previous campaign – losing seven of their final 10 league games – which resulted in a 17th-place finish, and so Dyche will be keen for his side to hit the ground running this time around.
The Clarets will need to address their home form if they are to have a strong campaign this year. Dyche's men are currently winless in their last 10 league games at Turf Moor – drawing and losing five each – with a 3-2 victory over Aston Villa in January their last success on home soil. Only once in their league history have they had a longer run without a win at Turf Moor, going 11 games between April and November 1979 when they were in the second tier.
Burnley also have a poor record against Saturday's opponents Brighton, having won just one of their last seven home league games against them, a narrow 1-0 Premier League win in December 2018.
After a 17-month absence, the Clarets will welcome the return of home fans this weekend and hope that their support can drive the team on to end their miserable run of form.
Burnley head into their opening fixture after winning five of their six pre-season friendlies, albeit against lesser opposition, with their only defeat against Spanish side Cadiz in their final game last weekend. With the return of a few key players, Dyche is set to name a strong side on Saturday that he will hope can secure all three points against a potential relegation rival.
Entering their fifth consecutive Premier League campaign this season, Brighton & Hove Albion will be looking to steer themselves clear of the drop zone once again, with head coach Graham Potter also hopeful that they can push themselves much further up the table.
The Seagulls are yet to show any real progression in terms of league position, with their highest finish being 15th place in 2017-18 and 2019-20.
Last season, Brighton often failed to string a good run of results together, winning just nine of their 38 league matches and suffering 15 defeats. One positive was that they never dropped into the relegation zone, consistently maintaining a fairly comfortable gap between themselves and the bottom three and eventually finishing 13 points above Fulham in 18th place.
While being praised for their progressive style, Brighton failed to consistently deliver in the final third. Potter's men had an expected goals total of 51.7 in the Premier League last season but scored just 40 goals, meaning they found the net almost 12 times fewer than expected based on the quality of their chances.
With plenty of attacking options at his disposal, including the likes of Neal Maupay, Danny Welbeck, Aaron Connolly and Leandro Trossard, Potter needs to see their form in the final third improve if the club are to enhance their chances of Premier League survival.
Heading into the opening weekend, the Seagulls – who won just one of their three pre-season friendlies – will be hoping for a repeat of their previous two away campaign openers in the top flight, which they won 3-0 against both Newcastle United and Watford.
Brighton are also unbeaten in each of their last four encounters against Burnley, so they can take confidence to Turf Moor on Saturday. With only one of their first eight matches against a team from last season's top six, Potter will fancy his chances of a strong start to the new campaign.
Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head
In 16 head-to-head encounters between the two sides, the record is exactly even. Brighton & Hove Albion have won four games, lost four and drawn eight.
The two clubs last faced each other earlier this year in the English Premier League, with the game ending in a 1-1 draw. A first-half goal from centre-back Lewis Dunk for Brighton & Hove Albion was cancelled out by a second-half goal from Iceland international Johann Berg Gudmundsson for Burnley.
Burnley form guide in the English Premier League: yet to play
Brighton & Hove Albion form guide in the English Premier League: yet to play
Burnley expect to have key duo Nick Pope and Chris Wood available to start on Saturday. Both came through the match with Cadiz unscathed, with Pope playing his first minutes since undergoing knee surgery in May, while Wood was given the first 45 minutes after featuring for New Zealand at the 2020 Olympics.
Indeed, Wood will be an important player for Dyche if he plays this weekend; the 29-year-old has scored more goals (eight) against Brighton than he has against any other side in his English league career.
Matthew Lowton will also be available after the right-back had to miss the last two pre-season fixtures because of self-isolation rules, following a family member testing positive for coronavirus.
Two players ruled out of their season opener, however, are midfielder Dale Stephens and defender Kevin Long, who are both sidelined with respective ankle and knee injuries which led to the pair undergoing surgery at the end of last term.
Dwight McNeil has been one of Burnley's brightest sparks during pre-season and he is expected to start on the left-wing with Johann Berg Gudmundsson to play on the opposite flank.
As for Brighton, Potter has confirmed that right wing-back Tariq Lamptey (hamstring), striker Danny Welbeck (hamstring) and defender Dan Burn (knee) are all unlikely to feature in the opening game due to injury.
Lamptey has been suffering with his problem since December 2020, while Welbeck and Burn sustained their latest injuries in last month's 3-1 friendly win against Luton Town.
Club captain Lewis Dunk had an operation on his toe over the summer, but after playing in their final warm-up match against Getafe last weekend, he should be in contention to start.
Defender Adam Webster, who recently signed a new contract with the club, is set to join Dunk in the back three alongside Joel Veltman, with Solly March and Pascal Gross likely to operate in wing-back roles.
Twenty-three-year-old Enock Mwepu, who joined the club from RB Salzburg this summer, could be in line to make his debut in midfield alongside Yves Bissouma, while Maupay is expected to lead the line up front.
Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Cork, McNeil; Barnes, Wood
Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Webster, Dunk, Veltman; March, Bissouma, Mwepu, Gross; Trossard, Mac Allister; Maupay
Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction
Burnley have acquired centre-back Nathan Collins from Championship side Stoke City, but have done little business after that. Winger Dwight McNeil was linked with clubs like Aston Villa and Everton have so far Burnley have managed to keep hold of their star, and once again the club will rely on the wizardry of Sean Dyche to keep them in the Premier League.
Brighton & Hove Albion, on the other hand, have sold star centre-back Ben White to Arsenal for big money. They are yet to replace the England international. Zambian midfielder Enock Mwepu has arrived from Red Bull Salzburg, and talented Japanese forward Kaoru Mitoma has been signed as well. However, Mitoma has been sent out on loan to Union SG for the season.
The problem last season for the Seagulls was not converting their chances, and they are yet to address that issue. Burnley are renowned for absorbing pressure and defending deep, and this has served them well so far. A draw seems to be the ideal result.
Prediction: Burnley 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Clarets to make winning start
Despite working on a tight budget, Sean Dyche continues to do a terrific job with Burnley and this will be their sixth consecutive season in the Premier League.
Everyone in the squad knows what is required of them and they accept that, for large periods of a game, they will be deploying a direct style to get the best out of the 11 players on the pitch.
Burnley’s home form has often helped them retain their top-flight status and although they lost their last four league matches of the 2020021 season at Turf Moor, they did hold the likes of Everton, Leicester and Arsenal while getting the better of Aston Villa and Wolves.
The Clarets can reset and go again from the off and they should feel confident of overcoming Brighton, who had the sixth-worst away record in the Premier League last season.
Graham Potter’s men often play attractive football but time and time again they failed to take their chances last season and there is an argument that they offer more style than substance.
Tip: Burnley to win @ 21/10 with Sky Bet
Low-scoring clash on the cards
The past eight Premier League meetings between the sides have produced three goalless draws and there’s value in the 13/8 on offer for under 1.5 goals, while backing Burnley to win 1-0 is a juicy 13/2.
As mentioned earlier, Brighton have no problems creating chances but, frustratingly for their fans, they haven’t been able to take enough of them and they could struggle against a solid Clarets side.
The Seagulls scored just 18 league goals away from home last season – only Sheffield United and Wolves netted fewer – and the fact they haven’t brought in new forwards this summer is a worry.
In the teams that finished in the bottom half last term, only two teams conceded fewer at home than Burnley and they could edge a low-scoring affair at Turf Moor.
Tip: Correct score – Burnley 1-0 @ 13/2 with Sky Bet
New Zealander ready to pounce
If anybody is likely to find the back of the net on Saturday it will be Chris Wood, who has been Burnley’s leading or joint-top scorer in all four seasons with the club.
The New Zealander is fantastic in the air, making him ideal for Burnley’s style of play, but he is also adept with the ball at feet and has scored some brilliant strikes during his Turf Moor career.
Since arriving at Burnley in August 2017, the 29-year-old has netted 50 league goals and he will be relishing the chance to take on Brighton, a side he has scored against eight times in 17 meetings. He has scored more times only against Huddersfield Town.
Tip: Chris Wood to score at any time @ 17/10 with Sky Bet
Burnley vs Brighton odds
Burnley are 21/10 to win on Saturday, with Brighton 7/5 and the draw priced at 21/10.
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