India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands

Widespread rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds are expected to hit over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during the next four days.
March 31, 2021 | 17:00
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According to Skymet Weather, a low-pressure area is over the south-east Arabian Sea and the adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean. An associated cyclonic circulation is up to mid-tropospheric levels.

A cyclonic circulation is over the south-east Bay of Bengal. It will induce a low pressure over the same area in the next 24 hours, which will further intensify into a well-marked low in the subsequent 24 hours.

A western disturbance is over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining Ladakh. An induced cyclonic circulation is over central Pakistan and adjoining west Rajasthan. A trough is extending from east Uttar Pradesh to Bihar. A trough is extending from the Karnataka coast to Vidarbha across interior Maharashtra.

During the last 24 hours, light to moderate rain and snow with one or two intense spells occurred over Jammu & Kashmir, Gilgit Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Ladakh and Himachal Pradesh. Uttarakhand recorded light isolated rain.

Light to moderate rain and thundershower with few heavy spells occurred across North East India, parts of Sikkim, Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Kerala.

India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands
Representational image (Nilesh Wairkar/MM, BCCL, Mumbai)

Light to moderate rain occurred over coastal Karnataka and isolated light rain over sub-Himalayan West Bengal. Heat wave to severe heat wave conditions occurred over Delhi NCR and western parts of Rajasthan. Isolated pockets of East Rajasthan also witnessed heatwave conditions.

During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain with isolated light snowfall may continue over Western Himalayas until tonight. The weather will clear up by tomorrow. Light to moderate rain and thundershower with isolated heavy to very heavy spell may occur over northeast India. Landslide and inundation in low-lying areas are also possible in some parts. Moderate to heavy rain and thundershowers are possible over Andaman and Nicobar Islands for the next 3 to 4 days.

Events will be moderate to strong over the south-east Bay of Bengal near Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea for at least the next 2-3 days. Light rain with one or two moderate spells may occur over Kerala.

Heatwave to severe heatwave conditions is expected to continue over western parts of Rajasthan. Isolated pockets of East Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Odisha may also come under heatwave conditions.

Strong surface winds from the Northwest direction are expected to continue over Indo Gangetic Plains during the next 2 to 3 days. Wind speed maybe around 30 to 40 kmph.

Parts of Northeast India will continue experiencing the rain spell that began drenching the region at the start of this week, with heavy showers particularly likely over the states in the next 24-48 hours.

India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands
3-day rain forecast over Northeast India from Wednesday to Friday. (TWC Met Team)

According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the strong lower-level south-westerly winds blowing in from the Bay of Bengal, coupled with other favourable meteorological conditions, will cause rainfall, thunderstorms, hailstorms, thundersquall and lightning over the Northeast for the next two days, i.e. March 31 and April 1.

Fairly widespread to widespread showers, thunderstorms, hailstorms, thundersquall and lightning are all expected at isolated places across Northeast India on Wednesday and Thursday, although maximum rainfall activity is expected on Wednesday itself.

Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura will all witness isolated heavy falls on Wednesday, whereas Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim will be in for heavy downpour on Wednesday as well as Thursday.

As per The Weather Channel’s met team, a 3-day total precipitation of 50 mm to 120 mm is possible over Arunachal Pradesh and adjoining areas from Wednesday to Friday.

According to Hindustan Times, dry, dust laden winds from Rajasthan have started blowing over Delhi leading to a deterioration in air quality and visibility in the Capital.

The average air quality index on Tuesday was recorded at 232, in the “poor” category. The concentrations of PM 10 (coarse pollution particles) spiked from 224 micrograms per cubic metres to 326 micrograms per cubic metres at 4pm, according to data with the Central Pollution Control Board.

The PM 10 concentration at 9pm was 361.1 micrograms per cubic metres. The 24-hour safe standard for PM10 as per CPCB is 100 micrograms per cubic metres.

Scientists from the India Meteorological Department said the air quality is likely to deteriorate further as strong, westerly winds is likely to blow over the city till April 1.

“The change in the colour of the sky is mainly due to dust. There is loose soil floating around and strong winds is raising this soil and dust particles. Westerly winds, which is blowing at about 40kmph, is also bringing dust from Rajasthan. These conditions will continue till April 1, following which temperature will rise further,” said Kuldeep Shrivastava, head, regional weather forecasting centre.

The relative humidity was only 16% to 17% on Tuesday afternoon.

According to IMD scientists, dust raising winds are affecting the entire Indo-Gangetic Plains region.

“Our models are showing that these strong winds will prevail for 2-3 days. There is no moisture incursion over the region. Winds are blowing from dry regions to the west and northwest. Heat wave conditions were recorded over parts of Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Delhi on Monday because of clear skies, uninterrupted solar radiation and low wind speed. But the strong winds will help keep the maximum temperature in check for now. Maximum temperatures will shoot up again from April 2 or April 3,” said K Sathi Devi, head, national weather forecasting centre.

India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands

5-Day Nationwide Forecast

According to Weather.com, under the influence of the cyclonic circulation over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining south Andaman Sea, a low pressure area has formed over the same region. The associated cyclonic circulation extends up to 5.8 km above mean sea level, and is likely to become more marked over North Andaman Sea and neighbourhood during the next 24 hours, as per the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

This system will cause widespread rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning and gusty winds over Andaman & Nicobar Islands during the next four days. Isolated heavy to very heavy falls are also on the cards over the Islands during March 31-April 1. Fishermen are also advised not to venture into Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Andaman Sea on March 31, and over the Andaman Sea and adjoining areas of Bay of Bengal on April 1-2.

Meanwhile, strong lower level south-westerlies from the Bay of Bengal and other favourable meteorological conditions are set to bring fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with thunderstorms, hailstorms, thundersquall and lightning at isolated places of Northeast India on March 31-April 1, with maximum activity on March 31.

Accordingly, isolated heavy falls are expected over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura on March 31, and over Arunachal Pradesh during March 31-April 1. These conditions may also cause landslides and inundation of low lying areas at isolated places over south Assam, Meghalaya, Tripura and Mizoram during March 31-April 1. 3-day total precipitation of 50 mm to 120 mm is possible over Arunachal Pradesh and adjoining areas from Wednesday to Friday.

A trough and cyclonic circulation also persist over Southern India, which will bring isolated to scattered rain with lightning over Kerala in this period.

India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands
A dust storm blows through the Rajpath lawns near India Gate on Tuesday.(HT Photo)

Lastly, a fresh western disturbance could affect the Western Himalayan Region from Sunday onwards. Dry weather is likely over Central, Western and Eastern India in this period, and over Northern India from Wednesday to Saturday.

As for mercury levels, heatwave conditions are possible in isolated pockets over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Odisha and Telangana on Wednesday, and in isolated pockets over Maharashtra, Odisha and Telangana on Thursday.

However, the maximum temperatures are very likely to fall by 3-5°C over the plains of Northwest India during the next two days, leading to the abatement of heatwave conditions over Rajasthan. Although, another heatwave spell is expected over the plains of Northwest India from April 3.

The maximum temperatures will be below normal over Northeastern India in this period due to rainfall, near-normal or slightly below normal over Eastern and Northern India from Thursday onwards, and slightly higher than average over Western and Southern India in this period.

Dust-raising strong surface winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) are very likely to prevail over Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, north Madhya Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal during March 31-April 1.

India daily weather forecast latest, April 1: Heavy rainfall to hit Assam, Meghalaya, Andaman & Nicobar Islands
Photo: Weather Online

Regional Forecast

Heavy to very heavy rain is likely at isolated places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, while just heavy showers are expected at isolated places over Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim.

Widespread rain/snow and thunderstorms are on the cards over Arunachal Pradesh, while just widespread rain and thunderstorms are possible over Assam and Meghalaya.

Fairly widespread rain/snow and thunderstorms are likely over Sikkim. Fairly widespread rain and thunderstorms are on the horizon over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

Isolated rain with lightning is possible over Kerala. Heatwave conditions have been predicted in isolated pockets over Maharashtra, Odisha and Telangana.

Maximum temperatures are likely to be above 40°C in some places of south Rajasthan, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.

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