According to Skymet Weather, an active Western Disturbance is over north Pakistan and adjoining area. An induced cyclonic circulation is over central Pakistan and adjoining Punjab and Haryana. A cyclonic circulation over eastern parts of Bangladesh is persisting in lower levels.
During the next 24 hours, rain and snowfall are expected at many places over Gilgit Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, and Jammu & Kasmir.
Rain and snowfall activities will cover many parts of Himachal Pradesh as well as parts of Uttarakhand. Isolated to scattered rain may occur over northern districts of Punjab, Haryana, and Northwestern Uttar Pradesh.
Minimum temperatures of Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan, Delhi NCR and West Uttar Pradesh to increase by 2 to 3 degrees.
|A cold wave gripping the national capital on January 14, 2021. (Anindya Chattopadhyay/BCCL Delhi)|
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), cold wave to severe cold wave conditions are in the forecast for isolated pockets of Haryana on January 24, over Rajasthan between January 24-27, and across Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh on January 26 and 27.
For the plain areas, the IMD declares a cold wave when the minimum temperatures are 10°C or below, and fall at least 4.5°C below the region’s normal mercury levels for two consecutive days. But for small areas like Delhi, a cold wave can also be declared if the temperature criteria is fulfilled even for a single day.
Meanwhile, the prediction also adds that cold day to severe cold day conditions are expected in some pockets of Uttar Pradesh for the next 2-3 days.
A cold day is declared when the minimum temperature is below 10°C and the maximum temperature is 4.4°C below the regional normal.
In view of these forecasted conditions, the IMD’s regional met centre in New Delhi has issued orange alerts over Uttar Pradesh on Sunday, January 24; and across Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, and Delhi on Sunday and Monday, Jan 24-25. An orange alert urges residents to ‘be prepared’ for rough conditions.
|Photo: Weather Online|
These respective orange alerts over the aforementioned states will subsequently be replaced by yellow-level watches, which advise people to ‘be aware’ of their local weather situation, for the following 2-3 days. As for Rajasthan, the desert state will retain its yellow watch from January 24-27 without any changes.
Along with the cold, dense to very dense fog is also likely to engulf some pockets of Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and north Rajasthan over the next 4-5 days, along with Bihar and north Madhya Pradesh for the next 2-3 days.
Meanwhile, the weather across the Western Himalayan region will continue to be affected by the western disturbance that, as of Saturday afternoon, lies over North Pakistan and neighbourhood. The system will produce isolated rain/snow over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh on Sunday, January 24, and fade off entirely by the start of next week.
5-Day Nationwide Weather Forecast
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the western disturbance as a cyclonic circulation lies over east Afghanistan and neighbourhood, with a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies and an induced cyclonic circulation in lower levels over central Pakistan and adjoining Punjab.
Under its influence, fairly widespread to widespread rain/snow is likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh, and isolated rain/snow is expected over Uttarakhand on Saturday, January 23.
Further, very light/light rain and thundershowers are in the forecast at isolated places over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi on Saturday.
On the same day, heavy rain/snow are very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Muzaffarabad, whereas isolated thunderstorms with lightning and hail are possible over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, Muzaffarabad, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and north Punjab on Saturday.
Meanwhile, Saturday will also see an anticyclonic circulation centred on the Deccan Plateau will become dominant, and create calm wind conditions in the surrounding area. In the east coast, fog formation is favourable.
Nighttime temperature will be in single digits over the Indo-Gangetic Plains, eastern Rajasthan and much of Madhya Pradesh at the beginning of February.
Temperatures will continue to be extreme or quite higher in the central part of the Western Himalayan region, including Nepal, at least until the beginning of February.
Rise in minimum temperatures by 2-3°C is very likely during the next 48 hours (23rd-24th January), and fall by 3-5°C during subsequent 3 days (25th-27th January) is expected over most parts of Northwest and Central India.
In the morning, dense fog is possible over the Coromandel Coast and the Mouth of Ganges until Sunday. Isolated thunderstorms are possible over Lakshadweep. In the morning, dense fog is possible over much of Uttar Pradesh, southeast Odisha, coastal Andhra Pradesh and several parts of Gujarat, Weather.com reported.
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