Tesla stock – is there a forming of a new bubble?

There is a strong school of opinions in the recent Tesla stock price, about the validity of its valuation in the market. No fundamental analysis seems to be able to justify the stock price of the tech giant. Therefore, it brings up a valid question – are we seeing the forming of a new bubble?    
July 09, 2020 | 14:25
foreign investors optimistic about vietnams stock market Foreign investors optimistic about Vietnam's stock market
apple fills key positions in vietnam to open factory Apple fills key positions in Vietnam to open factory?
warren buffett bet on america buying stocks Warren Buffett: 'Bet on America,' buying stocks

After all, it has more than quadrupled since last summer, and short-sellers have been insisting ever since that a bubble is forming.

0341 elon musk source cnn
Elon Musk (Source: CNN)

The prediction was based on the sheer magnitude of Tesla’s stock price runup in prior months. According to a model constructed by three researchers at Harvard, the odds of a crash increase in lockstep with how much a stock has gained over the recent past. Put simply, the higher a stock goes, the harder it falls.

Miller Tabak, chief markets strategist Matt Maley on Yahoo Finance's The First Trade said about Tesla stock: “When a stock rises this much, I mean 43% in five or six days, that only happens after a stock crashed. That hasn’t happened [with Tesla]. The stock more than doubled when the big rally came along. Maybe a company can go up 43% if they come up with a COVID-19 vaccine. But stocks like this after they have rallied a lot that’s a bubble. And to me, that tells me people should take at least some profits off the table and be careful about buying the stock at these prices”.

To Maley’s point, the move in Tesla this past month appears very bubblicious as Wall Street traders would say. Tesla’s stock is up 58% in the past month, 155% in the last three months, and 232% year-to-date, according to Yahoo Finance Premium data. The bulls have fueled the stock on the thesis Tesla will see strong demand out of China while also having reached a level of sustainable profits overall.

The company’s market cap now stands at a mind-boggling $258 billion, despite Tesla’s long history of not being profitable. A week ago, Tesla eclipsed Toyota for the title of the world’s most valuable automakers.

0344 tesla source pexel photos
Tesla (Source: pexel photos)

Perhaps the most glaring parallel could be drawn between Tesla today and Volkswagen in 2008.

Musk’s Tesla has more investors betting against the company than any other U.S. stock, according to S3. If enough short sellers are forced to cover their shorts and buy back the stock at the same time, it can create higher demand and itself drive the stock price even higher, a phenomenon also known as “a short squeeze.”

Similar moves triggered by short selling happened to Volkswagen in 2008 after Porsche took a stake in the company, catching investors betting against the stock off guard. At that time, the short-sellers notoriously pushed the German automaker to become the world’s most valuable company.

Bottom line is that if Tesla doesn’t deliver in a big way with its second-quarter earnings release due out soon, the bulls will likely be pounded into the ground.

techtronic industries to pour a us 650 million investment in vietnam Techtronic Industries to pour a US$ 650 million investment in Vietnam

On Tuesday, the Vietnamese government revealed that Techtronic Industries has planned to invest an additional US$650 million in Vietnam to produce cordless appliances.

former facebook vietnam and go viet ceo invests in the worlds first carbon fiber bicycle startup Former Facebook Vietnam and Go-Viet CEO invests in the world's first carbon fiber bicycle startup

Although Mrs. Le Diep Kieu Trang did not disclose her investment in Arevo, she and her husband directly participate in running the company.

world news today billionaire elon musk welcomes his seventh baby israels significant breakthrough World news today: Billionaire Elon Musk welcomes his seventh baby, Israel's significant breakthrough

World news today: Elon Musk reveals on Instagram his girlfriend Grimes has given birth to a baby son May 5. Meanwhile, Israel has isolated a key coronavirus antibody ...

William Nguyen
Phiên bản di động